Starkville, Miss.

Field: Mississippi State (1), South Alabama (2), Mercer (3), Central Arkansas (4)

I pick Starkville as the regional with the most upset potential, because none of the underdogs can be overlooked. Central Arkansas ranks 15th in ERA and 12th in on-base percentage. Mercer ranks 13th in OBP and 16th in slugging percentage. South Alabama joins the OBP party at 22nd in the nation.

Mississippi State, at 28th, would rank last in this field in OBP. Oh sure, nobody else can claim Hunter Renfroe, and Jonathan Holder is nearly as good as it gets in the late innings, but the Bulldogs are vulnerable. They have talented starting pitchers but not dominant ones, and you'd expect a No. 1 seed to have at least one of those. At 43-17 and coming out of the SEC, you can't argue Mississippi State's place among the 16 hosts, but you can question its ability to survive the first weekend.