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 Post subject: Week 11, 11/10/2012, Football
PostPosted: Sun Nov 04, 2012 9:19 pm 
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Posts: 6128
We can enjoy this week as the Bears get a much needed rest and prepare for the final push. Maybe start the looking closer at Eastern Illinois and possible playoff matcheups.

Using 11/4/12 Sagarin ratings, the FCS Top 5 is:
North Dakota State
Sam Houston State
Indiana State
Northern Iowa
Eastern Washington

UCA is #11 (98th in all D1) and Eastern Illinois is #14...UCA would be a 5 point favorite over EIU.

Some FBS teams within +/- 3 points of UCA in Sagarin ratings:
79 - Navy
86 - East Carolina
88 - Kansas
92 - Virginia
96 - Air Force
98 - UCA
101- Houston
105- Kentucky
108- Rice
110- Marshall
111- Maryland
116- North Texas
118- Illinois

Some FBS teams =/- 3 from Sam Houston State(#64):
55- Miami (The U)
56- Tulsa
58- Arkansas
59- Va Tech
60- Syracuse
61- California
62- Iowa
63- Pittsburgh
64- Sam
69- Georgia Tech
70- Arkansas State
71- Purdue


Sagrarin Predictor spread in parens.

Sagarin Prediction accuracy for games featured last week and YTD starting in Week 4 are:

SLC: 4-0 (12-4)
All Games: 18-3 (117-24)

SLC:

SLC record in < >

UCA <6-1> open
Nicholls State <0-5> at Lamar <0-5> (2)
McNeese <3-3> at UTSA (2)
Sam Houston State <5-1> (21) at Northwestern State <2-3>
SFA <3-2> (12) at SELA <3-2>


Regional and FCS Games of Interest:

SEMO at Eastern Illinois (20)
Murray State at Eastern Kentucky (3)
UT-Martin (8) at Tennessee Tech
UAPB (27) at Grambling State
Furman at App State (13)
Southern Utah at Northern Arizona (9)
Idaho at Cal Poly (20)
Delaware at Richmond (13)
Rhode Island at Towson (33)
Bethune-Cookman (30) at Savannah State

Kansas State (12) at TCU
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State (3)
OU (15) at West Virginia
Tulsa (6) at Houston
Tulane at Memphis (4)
Vanderbilt at Ole Miss (4)
La Tech (14) at Texas State
ULM (2) at Arkansas State (11/8), 23-45...well, well

FCS Top 10:

#1 North Dakota State (10) vs #16 South Dakota State
#2 Montana State (12) vs Portland State
#3 Sam Houston State (21) at Northwestern State
#4 Old Dominion (12) vs William and Mary
#5 Eastern Washington (17) vs UC-Davis
#6 Stony Brook (15) at Liberty
#7 Georgia Southern (29) vs Howard
#8 Lehigh (2) v Colgate
#9 James Madison at #21 Villanova (2)
#10 New Hampshire idle

FCS Top 15 Losses:


Last edited by JRK on Fri Nov 09, 2012 9:38 pm, edited 5 times in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Week 11, 11/10/2012, Football
PostPosted: Mon Nov 05, 2012 9:50 am 
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Location: Maumelle
The Nicholls/Lamar game should be a doozy.
And I would be very surprised if Sam Houston doesn't beat Northwestern State by 45+. They are trying to make a point now.


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 Post subject: Re: Week 11, 11/10/2012, Football
PostPosted: Sat Nov 10, 2012 5:26 pm 
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FINAL Scores

Sagrarin Predictor spread in parens.

Sagarin Prediction accuracy for games featured last week and YTD starting in Week 4 are:

SLC: 4-0 (12-4)
All Games: 18-3 (117-24)

SLC:

SLC record in < >

UCA <6-1> open
Nicholls State <0-5> at Lamar <0-5> (2), 24-34
McNeese <3-3> at UTSA (2), 24-31
Sam Houston State <5-1> (21) at Northwestern State <2-3>, 52-17
SFA <3-2> (12) at SELA <3-2>, 27-42


Regional and FCS Games of Interest:

SEMO at Eastern Illinois (20), 20-39
Murray State at Eastern Kentucky (3), 24-55
UT-Martin (8) at Tennessee Tech, 44-45
UAPB (27) at Grambling State, 24-17
Furman at App State (13), 28-33
Southern Utah at #11 Northern Arizona (9), 35-29 (3OTs)
Idaho at Cal Poly (20), 14-70
Delaware at Richmond (13), 17-23
Rhode Island at Towson (33), 10-47
Bethune-Cookman (30) at Savannah State, 49-7

Kansas State (12) at TCU, 23-10
West Virgina at Oklahoma State (14), 34-55
Baylor at OU (17), 34-42
Tulsa (6) at Houston, 41-7
Tulane at Memphis (4), 23-37
Vanderbilt at Ole Miss (4), 27-26
La Tech (14) at Texas State, 62-54
ULM (2) at Arkansas State (11/8), 23-45...well, well

FCS Top 10:

#1 North Dakota State (10) vs #16 South Dakota State, 20-17
#2 Montana State (12) vs Portland State, 65-30
#3 Sam Houston State (21) at Northwestern State, 52-17
#4 Old Dominion (12) vs William and Mary, 41-31
#5 Eastern Washington (17) vs UC-Davis, 31-28
#6 Stony Brook (15) at Liberty, 14-28
#7 Georgia Southern (29) vs Howard, 69-26
#8 Lehigh (2) v Colgate, 24-35
#9 James Madison at #21 Villanova (2), 20-35
#10 New Hampshire idle

FCS Top 15 Losses:

#6 Stony Brook lost to unranked Liberty
#8 Lehigh lost to unranked Colgate
#9 James Madison lost to #21 Villanova
#11 Northern Arizona lost to unranked Southern Utah


Last edited by JRK on Sun Nov 11, 2012 2:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Week 11, 11/10/2012, Football
PostPosted: Sun Nov 11, 2012 11:08 am 
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Wow. We didn't even play and droped to #12, 101 overall.

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