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Time to start looking at upcoming games. Working on an opening post.

that means football is near!

Absolutely!!

Let's look at ASUN/WAC aka AQ7....red teams are part of AQ7...not all WAC teams are in AQ7...

Game predictions based solely on end of last season Sagarin ratings...this makes it appear ASUN in for a rough opening week....

Saturday, 8/27/22
Austin Peay @ FBS Western Kentucky by 18
Stephen F Austin by 8 v Jacksonville State at Montgomery

Thursday, 9/1/22
#5 Missouri State by 12 at UCA
Kennesaw State by 7 @ Samford
North Alabama @ Indiana State by 4
Mississippi Valley State @ Tarleton by 17
Lamar @ Abilene Christian by 16
St Thomas, (MN) @ Southern Utah by 8.....ST started in FCS as part of the Pioneer Conference in 2021

Friday, 9/2/22
Eastern Kentucky @ FBS Eastern Michigan by 12

Saturday, 9/3/22
Presbyterian @ Austin Peay by 43
Sam Houston State @ Texas A&M by 22
Stephen F Austin by 16 @ Alcorn State
Utah Tech (formerly Dixie State) @ Sacramento State by 31

Week 1 (or 0 ??)....Saturday, Aug 27

A number of games but not a lot of high interest in this region excluding those in the AQ7 post....a couple maybe to watch to get in the mood for the next week...

Nebraska @ Northwestern....opening with a B10 conference game.....from Dublin (Ireland, not Ohio)
Wyoming @ Illinois....Cowboys might get a B10 road win....
Idaho State @ UNLV...get to see a UCA road opponent in ISU
Vandy @ Hawaii...who takes the Rainbow Warriors?

Florida State opens at home vs Duquesne (from Pittsburgh).....Dukes picked 2nd in FCS Northeastern Conference behind Sacred Heart..they get a lot of players out of PA and Ohio .....Mike needs to have the Seminoles ready to hang 50.....

I'll have my eyes on the SFA v. JSU game in Montgomery...two later opponents and big implications for SFA early on

Both will be big games for Bears to win later....looking forward to your observations....Go Bears!!

Week 0 Games, 8/27/22

Nebraska @ Northwestern....opening with a B10 conference game.....from Dublin (Ireland, not Ohio), 28-31..another Husker misfire....

Wyoming @ Illinois...6-38...Bret gets an early win......

Idaho State @ UNLV...get to see a UCA road opponent in ISU....21-52....ISU threw for 191 but rushed for only 50....gave up 405 via the air....

Vandy @ Hawaii...63-10

Florida State opens at home vs Duquesne (from Pittsburgh)....47-7...200 rush yards at half for Norvell's Noles...

Austin Peay @ FBS Western Kentucky by 18.......27-38....Govs trailed by 1 after Q3...never led

Stephen F Austin by 8 v Jacksonville State at Montgomery....17-42..ouch.
....another former big time P-5 coach in Rich Rodriquez's coming to Conway later this fall with what looks like may be a pretty good team...

Was hoping SFA could get out of AL with a win. JSU clearly took advantage of the extra 22 scholarships in the portal

Week 1 Games

ASUN/WAC AQ7 Alliance:

UCA v #8 Missouri State (9/1), 14-27
North Alabama @ Indiana State (9/1), 14-17
#6 Kennesaw State @ Samford, 27-17
Eastern Kentucky @ Eastern Michigan (9/2), 34-42
Presbyterian @ Austin Peay (9/3), 0-63
SFA @ Alcorn State (9/3), 31-27
Abilene Christian vs Lamar (9/1), 28-14
Southern Utah vs St Thomas - Minnesota (9/1), 44-13

FCS V FBS Challenge:

Sam Houston State @ #6 Texas A&M (9/3), 0-31
SE Missouri @ Iowa State (9/3), 10-42
Nicholls State @ South Alabama (9/3), 7-48
FCS #16 Southeastern La @ Louisiana (9/3), 7-24

Other (all 9/3 unless noted):

Louisiana Tech @ Mizzou (9/1), 24-52
Central Michigan @ #12 Oklahoma State (9/1), 44-58
Florida State @ LSU (9/4), 24-23....STs won this game....blocked FG and blocked PAT.....FSU looked very solid or else LSU is not up to par....
Arkansas State vs Grambling State, 3-58
McNeese State @ FCS #4 Montana State, 17-40
Troy @ #21 Ole Miss, 10-28
Tulsa @ Wyoming, 37-40, 2 OT
Memphis @ Mississippi State, 23-49
UL-Monroe @ Texas, 10-52
UAPB vs Lane, 48-42
Davidson @ Jacksonville State
, 17-35

Top 3 ranked team games (all 9/3):
#11 Oregon @ #3 Georgia, 49-3....wow...maybe Ducks over-rated....
#23 Cincinnati @ #19 Arkansas, 24-31
#5 Notre Dame @ #2 Ohio State, 10-21

https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/football/fcs/stats-perform-fcs-top-25

No love for Bears in the polls this week...long way to get to where we need to be...good time for a win at Oxford!!

1 North Dakota State (52) 1-0 1,348 1
2 South Dakota State (2) 0-1 1,259 2
3 Montana 1-0 1,244 3
4 Montana State 1-0 1,210 4
5 Missouri State 1-0 1,065 5
6 Villanova 1-0 1,064 6
7 Sacramento State 1-0 1,009 7
8 UIW 1-0 899 14
9 ETSU 1-0 815 11
10 Delaware 1-0 768 19
11 Chattanooga 1-0 752 12
12 Eastern Washington 1-0 719 13
13 Jackson State 1-0 700 15
14 UT Martin 1-0 518 18
15 Holy Cross 1-0 495 16
16 Weber State 1-0 451 20
17 Southern Illinois 0-1 450 9
18 Stephen F. Austin 1-1 394 10
19 Kennesaw State 0-1 379 8
20 William & Mary 1-0 350 NR
21 Southeastern Louisiana 0-1 348 17
22 Rhode Island 1-0 324 22
23 Mercer 1-1 206 23
24 Northern Iowa 0-1 187 21
25 Samford 1-0 162 NR
Others Receiving Votes (schools listed on two or more ballots): Richmond (0-1) 104; UC Davis (0-1) 85; Eastern Kentucky (0-1): 67; South Dakota (0-1): 44; Furman (1-0): 31; Dartmouth (0-0): 30; New Hampshire (1-0) 14; Elon (0-1): 13; North Dakota (0-1) 11; North Carolina Central (1-0) 3; Austin Peay (1-1) 3

Week 2 Games:

ASUN:

UCA @ #22 Ole Miss....6pm, 3-59
FCS #19 Kennesaw State @ Cincinnati...10-63

Eastern Kentucky @ Bowling Green, 59-57 7 OTs...FCS over FBS
Austin Peay vs Mississippi Valley State, 41-0
North Alabama vs UVA/Wise, 49-17


Jacksonville State @ Murray State, 34-3

Other Regional:

#5 Missouri State vs #14 UT-Martin, 35-30..Bears trailed 24-21 after Q3
Lindenwood @ Houston Baptist, 21-20
SEMO @ FCS#17 Southern Illinois, 34-31
Idaho State @ San Diego State, 7-38
Arkansas State @ #3 Ohio State, 12-45

UAPB vs North American University, 76-3
#7 Oklahoma vs Kent State, 33-7
#11 Ok State vs Arizona State, 34-17
Tulsa vs Northern Illinois, 38-35

FCS/FBS Challenge:

Lamar @ SMU, 16-45
McNeese @ Rice, 10-52
Nicholls @ ULM, 7-35
Furman @ #5 Clemson, 12-35
#25 Samford # #3 Georgia, 0-33
Indiana State @ Purdue, 0-56
#8 Incarnate Word @ Nevada, 55-41...FCS win
#21 SE La @ Florida Atlantic, 9-42
Western Carolina @ Georgia Tech, 17-35
Western Illinois @ Minnesota, 10-62
Charleston Southern @ #18 NC State, 3-55
Lafayette @ Temple, 14-30
Portland State @ Washington, 6-52
Wagner @ Rutgers, 7-66
Northern Colorado @ Wyoming, 10-33
Norfolk State @ James Madison, 7-63
Alabama State @ UCLA, 7-45
FCS#15 Holy Cross @ Buffalo, 37-31...FCS win
Gardner-Webb @ Coastal Carolina, 27-31
FCS#16 Weber State @ Utah State, 35-7...FCS win
Alcorn State @ Tulane, 0-52
Howard @ South Florida, 20-42
Alabama A&M @ Troy, 17-38
Southern @ LSU, 17-65
Texas Southern @ North Texas, 27-59
Tarleton @ TCU, 17-59
Idaho @ Indiana, 22-35
Southern Utah @ #13 Utah, 7-73
FCS#18 SFA @ La Tech, 17-52

Other Games:
Louisville @ UCF, 20-14
#1 Alabama @ Texas, 20-19...Bama certainly did not dominate
#20 Kentucky @ #12 Florida, 26-16
#24 Tennessee @ #17 Pitt, 34-27 OT

Watched "We Are Marshall" again this past week....and today the Herd wins in South Bend over another over-rated Notre Dame team by 26-21....nice ending....

9/12/22 - STATS Perform

1 North Dakota State (52) 2-0 1,348 1
2 South Dakota State (2) 1-1 1,263 2
3 Montana 2-0 1,242 3
4 Montana State 2-0 1,199 4
5 Missouri State 2-0 1,097 5
6 UIW 2-0 1,064 8
7 Villanova 2-0 1,021 6
8 Sacramento State 1-0 967 7
9 Delaware 2-0 865 10
10 Chattanooga 2-0 804 11
11 Jackson State 2-0 758 13
12 Weber State 2-0 748 16
13 Holy Cross 2-0 713 15
14 Eastern Washington 1-1 562 12
15 William & Mary 2-0 542 20
16 UT Martin 1-1 488 14
17 Rhode Island 2-0 468 22
18 East Tennessee State 1-1 388 9
19 Eastern Kentucky 1-1 285 NR
20 Mercer 1-1 243 23
21 Stephen F. Austin 1-2 180 18
22 North Dakota 1-1 157 NR
23 Kennesaw State 0-2 141 19
24 Samford 1-1 139 25
25 New Hampshire 2-0 138 NR
Others Receiving Votes (schools listed on two or more ballots): Richmond (1-1) 137; Southeastern Louisiana (0-2) 120; UC Davis (0-2) 97; Austin Peay (2-1) 53; Southern Illinois (0-2) 47; Southeast Missouri (1-1) 40; The Citadel (1-10 33; Northern Arizona (1-1) 29; Elon (1-10 28; Dartmouth (0-0) 27; North Carolina Central (2-0) 20; Furman (1-1) 19; Northern Iowa (0-2) 17; South Dakota (0-2) 15; Fordham (2-0) 13; Youngstown State (2-0) 10: Abilene Christian (2-0) 7; Idaho (0-2) 6; South Carolina State (1-1) 4

Week 3 Games:

ASUN:

UCA @ Idaho State, 31-16
Austin Peay @ Alabama State, 28-3
FCS #19 Eastern Kentucky vs Charleston Southern, 40-17
North Alabama @ #10 Chattanooga, 14-41
FCS #23 Kennesaw State - open

WAC:
Southern Utah @ Western Illinois, 17-10
A&M-Commerce @ Sam Houston State, 17-27
Tarleton vs Eastern New Mexico, 6-41
Utah Tech @ Weber State, 14-44
FCS #21 SFA - open

UCA non-ASUN/non-WAC Opponents:
#20 Ole Miss @ Georgia Tech...Rebs move up after win over UCA!!, 42-0
SE Missouri vs Nicholls State, 42-16
Lindenwood vs Keiser University, 37-3
Jacksonville State @ Tulsa, 17-54


FCS:
FCS #20 Mercer vs The Citadel, 17-0
FCS #22 North Dakota @ Northern Arizona, 27-24
FCS #24 Samford @ Tennessee Tech, 33-28
Richmond @ Lehigh, 30-6
SE Louisiana vs Central Connecticut, 70-6

FBS:
A-State @ Memphis, 32-44
#6 Oklahoma @ Nebraska, 49-14
La Tech @ #5 Clemson, 20-48
ULM @ #2 Alabama, 7-63
#1 Georgia @ South Carolina, 48-7
Florida State @ Louisville ......match ups of two great UCA WRs....35-31...good looking 3 RBs and a 6'7 flanker/slot receiver who is also very fast....Noles missed two short FGs..one to right and one to left.....seems to be going around this season...

FCS/FBS Challenge:
FCS #1 North Dakota State @ Arizona, 28-31...Bison should have won this game...
FCS #4 Montana State @ Oregon State, 28-68
FCS #5 Missouri State @ #10 Arkansas, 27-38
FCS #16 UT-Martin @ Boise State, 7-30
UAPB @ #8 Oklahoma State, 7-63
Youngstown State @ #9 Kentucky, 0-31
Wofford @ Virginia Tech, 7-27
Abilene Christian @ Mizzou, 17-34
Southern Illinois @ Northwestern, 31-24....FCS win
Long Island University @ Kent State, 10-63
Towson @ West Virginia, 7-65
Bucknell @ Central Michigan, 0-41
Murray State @ Ball State, 0-31
Stony Brook @ UMass, 3-20
NCAT @ Duke, 20-49
Campbell @ East Carolina, 10-49
Northwestern State @ Southern Miss, 10-64
Tennessee State @ Middle Tennessee, 6-49
Maine @ Boston College, 17-38
Duquesne @ Hawaii, 14-24
Villanova @ Army, 10-49

9/19/22 - STATS Perform

1 North Dakota State (43) 2-1 1,334 1
T-2 Montana (6) 3-0 1,267 3
T-2 South Dakota State (5) 2-1 1,267 2
T-4 Montana State 2-1 1,108 4
T-4 UIW 3-0 1,108 6
6 Missouri State 2-1 1,091 5
7 Sacramento State 2-0 995 8
8 Delaware 3-0 963 9
9 Villanova 2-1 874 7
10 Chattanooga 3-0 831 10
11 Jackson State 3-0 818 11
12 Weber State 3-0 789 12
13 Holy Cross 3-0 742 13
14 William & Mary 3-0 610 15
15 Eastern Washington 1-1 559 14
16 Eastern Kentucky 2-1 449 19
17 Mercer 2-1 401 20
18 UT Martin 1-2 351 16
19 North Dakota 2-1 305 22
20 Rhode Island 2-1 232 17
21 Samford 2-1 212 24
22 Richmond 2-1 164 NR
23 Stephen F. Austin 1-2 131 21
24 Southern Illinois 1-2 123 NR
25 North Carolina Central 3-0 104 NR
Others Receiving Votes (schools listed on two or more ballots): Furman (2-1, 1-0 Southern) 99; Southeastern Louisiana (1-2, 0-0 Southland) 98; Kennesaw State (0-2, 0-1 ASUN-WAC) 93; Southeast Missouri (2-1, 0-0 Ohio Valley) 93; Austin Peay (3-1, 3-0 ASUN-WAC) 87; UC Davis (1-2, 0-0 Big Sky) 82; ETSU (1-2, 0-2 Southern) 46; Elon (2-1, 0-0 CAA) 28; Fordham (3-0, 0-0 Patriot) 27; Dartmouth (1-0, 0-0 Ivy) 23; New Hampshire (2-1, 2-0 CAA) 19; Northern Arizona (1-2, 0-0 Big Sky) 5; Youngstown State (2-1, 0-0 Missouri Valley) 5; South Dakota (1-2, 0-0 Missouri Valley) 2

Week 4 - 9/24/22

Predictions below and margins based on Sagarin ratings after prior week

18-1

ASUN:

UCA @ SEMO by 6, 27-35
Jacksonville State by 8 @ Nicholls State, 52-21
FCS #16 Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay by 4, 20-31
Kennesaw State by 8 vs Wofford, 24-22
North Alabama vs Tarleton by 1, 28-43

WAC:
FCS #23 SFA vs Warner (NAIA-Sun Conference), 98-0
Abilene Christian vs Western New Mexico (D2-Lone Star Conference), 34-7
Utah Tech @ Southern Utah by 6, 17-31

FCS and UCA non-ASUN Opponents:
#16 Ole Miss by 19 vs Tulsa, 35-27
Idaho State @ Northern Colorado by 5, 14-35
Lindenwood @ FCS #18 UT-Martin by 22, 26-56
FCS #6 Missouri State by 1 vs FCS #2 South Dakota State, 14-28
FCS #21 Samford by 5 vs Western Carolina, 35-12
FCS #22 Richmond by 15 vs Stony Brook, 51-7
#24 Southern Illinois - open
#25 North Carolina Central vs Virginia Lynchburg (D3-Old Dominion Athletic Conf), 59-14
Furman by 16 @ Charleston Southern, 24-19
SE Louisiana vs FCS #4 Incarnate Word by 1, 41-35
UC-Davis vs FCS #12 Weber State by 1, 12-17

FBS:
Louisville by 12 vs South Florida, 41-3
James Madison by 1 @ Appalachian State..battle of former FCS powerhouses, 32-28
Arkansas State @ Old Dominion by 1, 26-29
Louisiana Tech @ South Alabama by 7, 14-38