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 Post subject: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Wed Aug 30, 2023 10:41 pm 
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No predictions this early in the season but many games of interest with the FCS v FBS match ups.

UAC:
FCS#22 UCA at Oklahoma State.....OSU are heavy favorites but not so fast....Pokes have lots of offense to replace with transfers and graduations (including star QB) and will be needing to figure out what new players will fit where in a real game.... Bears have solid returning group with very experienced QB, a stout RB and WR group, several of the top defenders in all of FCS, top shelf punters and KO specialist...could be much more of a game than many think...13-27

Austin Peay @ Southern Illinois, 23-49
SF Austin @ Troy, 30-48
Eastern Kentucky @ Cincinnati, 12-66
Southern Utah @ Arizona State, 21-24....Double Yikes!! ASU plays OSU next so we can get some idea of SU...
North Alabama (0-1) vs Chattanooga, 41-24
Tarleton State @ McNeese State, 52-34
Utah Tech @ FCS#5 Montana State, 20-63
Abilene Christian @ Northern Colorado, 31-11

FCS Top 10:
1. South Dakota State vs Western Oregon, 45-7
2. North Dakota State vs Eastern Washington, 35-10
3. Incarnate Word @ UTEP, 14-28
4. Sacramento State @ Nicholls State, 38-24..good road win for Comets
5. Montana State - see UAC games
6. Holy Cross vs Merrimack, 42-30
7. Samford vs Shorter, 69-14
8. William & Mary @ Campbell, 34-24
9. Weber State vs Central Washington, 35-10
10. Furman vs Tennessee Tech, 45-10

FBS Top 10:
1. Georgia vs UT-Martin, 48-7
2. Michigan vs East Carolina, 30-3
3. Ohio State @ Indiana, 23-3
4. Alabama vs Middle Tennessee State, 56-7
5. LSU @ #8 Florida State...huge game for Noles and Norvell, 24-45
6. Southern California vs Nevada, 66-14
7. Penn State vs West Virginia, 38-15
9. Clemson @ Duke
10. Washington vs Boise State, 56-19

Others:
#11 Texas vs Rice, 37-10
#12 Tennessee vs Virginia, 49-13
#17 TCU vs Colorado, 42-45
FCS#13 SE Missouri @ #16 Kansas State, 0-45...study the KSU defense schemes
FCS#18 Southeastern La @ Mississippi State, 7-48
Florida @ Utah, 11-24
Louisville @ Georgia Tech, 39-34
Arkansas State @ Oklahoma, 0-73


Last edited by JRK on Sun Sep 03, 2023 10:09 pm, edited 17 times in total.

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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 9:39 pm 
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Week 1:
Lots of FCS/FBS games.....any upsets in the works?? Nope...but Southern Utah came very close

UT-Martin @ #1 Georgia, 7-48
FCS#13 SE Missouri @ #16 Kansas State, 0-45
FCS#3 Incarnate Word @ UTEP, 14-28
SF Austin @ Troy, 30-48......Jacks put up some points
Eastern Kentucky @ Cincinnati, 13-66
Northern Iowa at Iowa State, 9-30
Mercer @ #24 Ole Miss, 7-73
Albany @ Marshall, 17-21...close call
Maine @ Florida International, 12-14
Alabama A&M @ Vanderbilt, 13-47
Bethune-Cookman @ Memphis, 14-56
Portland State @ #15 Oregon, 7-81
Long Island @ Ohio, 10-27
West Carolina @ Arkansas, 13-56
Robert Morris @ Air Force, 7-42
East Tennessee State @ Jacksonville State, 3-49
Elon @ Wake Forest, 17-37
Rhode Island@ Georgia State, 35-42
St Francis (Pa) @ Western Michigan, 17-35
NC A&T @ UAB, 6-35
Howard @ Eastern Michigan, 23-33...honorable mention
Wofford @ Pitt, 7-45
Gardner Webb @ Appalachian State, 24-45
Colgate @ Syracuse, 0-65
Bryant @ UNLV, 14-44
Monmouth @ Florida Atlantic, 20-42
Citadel @ Georgia Southern, 0-34
South Carolina State @ Charlotte, 3-24
Missouri State @ Kansas, 17-48
FCS#18 Southeastern La @ Mississippi State, 7-48
Alcorn State @ Southern Miss, 14-40
Northwestern State @ Louisiana, 13-38
Northern Arizona @ Arizona, 3-38
Idaho State @ San Diego State, 28-36...close call
Bucknell @ James Madison, 3-38
South Dakota @ Mizzou, 10-35
UAPB @ Tulsa, 7-42
Southern Utah @ Arizona State, 21-24....Yikes!!
Tennessee State @ Notre Dame, 3-56
FCS#22 UCA @ Oklahoma State, 13-27...honorable mention


Last edited by JRK on Sun Sep 03, 2023 9:58 pm, edited 8 times in total.

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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Fri Sep 01, 2023 10:59 am 
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JRK wrote:
Lots of FCS/FBS games.....any upsets in the works??

UT-Martin @ #1 Georgia
FCS#13 SE Missouri @ #16 Kansas State
FCS#3 Incarnate Word @ UTEP
SF Austin @ Troy
Eastern Kentucky @ Cincinnati
Northern Iowa at Iowa State
Mercer @ #24 Ole Miss
Albany @ Marshall
Maine @ Florida International
Alabama A&M @ Vanderbilt
Bethune-Cookman @ Memphis
Portland State @ #15 Oregon
Long Island @ Ohio
West Carolina @ Arkansas
Robert Morris @ Air Force
East Tennessee State @ Jacksonville State
Elon @ Wake Forest
Rhode Island@ Georgia State
St Francis (Pa) @ Western Michigan
NC A&T @ UAB
Howard @ Eastern Michigan
Wofford @ Pitt
Gardner Webb @ Appalachian State
Colgate @ Syracuse
Bryant @ UNLV
Monmouth @ Florida Atlantic
Citadel @ Georgia Southern
South Carolina State @ Charlotte
Missouri State @ Kansas
FCS#18 Southeastern La @ Mississippi State
Alcorn State @ Southern Miss
Northwestern State @ Louisiana
Northern Arizona @ Arizona
Idaho State @ San Diego State
Bucknell @ James Madison


That Southeastern LA @ Mississippi State game will be closer than Miss St fans will want it. SELA has some talent. UTEP might get upset as well.


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Fri Sep 08, 2023 3:54 pm 
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Week 2

UAC:

UCA vs Texas College (NAIA), 70-2
EKU @ Kentucky, 17-28..listened to much of the game on the way to Conway..EKU outplayed Cats in H1 and was tied 7-7...nothing fancy just typical EKU ..not many mistakes and some QB scrambles to make something out of nothing...
Southern Utah at BYU, 16-41
APU @ #9 Tennessee, 13-30
SFA vs Alcorn State, 10-38
ACU @ Prairie View A&M, 45-16
UNA @ Tarleton, 31-52.....UNA whipped 35-3 in H2
Utah Tech vs FCS#13 Montana, 13-43

FCS Top 10:
1. South Dakota State vs #3 Montana State, 20-16
2. North Dakota State vs Maine, 44-7
3. Montana State
4. William & Mary vs Wofford, 23-6
5. Holy Cross @ Boston College, 28-31
6. Furman @ South Carolina, 21-47
7. Samford @ Western Carolina, 7-30
8. Sacramento State v Texas A&M-Commerce, 27-6
9. Weber State @ #20 Northern Iowa, 34-17
10. Incarnate Word @ Northern Colorado, 42-7

FCS v FBS:
EKU @ Kentucky, 17-28...UK broadcast crew really gave EKU lots of love in pregame....said a number of times how QB Parker McKinney very likely will be drafted into NFL or in camp as a FA signee...
Southern Utah at BYU, 16-41
APU @ #9 Tennessee, 13-30
Holy Cross @ Boston College, 28-31...near miss
Furman @ South Carolina, 21-47
Cal Poly @ San Jose State, 3-59
Portland State @ Wyoming, 17-31
FCS#12 Idaho @ Nevada, 33-6
Idaho State @ Utah State, 28-78
FCS#14 UC-Davis @ #16 Oregon State, 7-55
Eastern Washington @ Fresno State, 31-34....tied after Q3..near miss
Eastern Illinois @ Bowling Green, 15-38
Charleston Southern @ @25 Clemson, 17-66
Tennessee Tech @ New Mexico, 10-56
Delaware @ #7 Penn State, 7-63
FCS#11 New Hampshire @ Central Michigan, 42-45...near miss
Richmond @ Michigan State, 14-45
Albany v Hawaii, 20-31
FCS#19 Delaware State @ Army, 0-57
South Carolina State @ Georgia Tech, 13-48
Morgan State @ Akron, 21-24...near miss
Indiana State @ Indiana, 7-41
Murray State @ Louisville, 0-56
FCS#25 Youngstown State @ #5 Ohio State, 7-35
FCS#23 Southern Illinois @ Northern Illinois, 14-11
Wagner @ Navy, 0-24
Duquesne @ West Virginia, 17-56
Lafayette @ #21 Duke, 7-42
Fordham @ Buffalo, 40-37
Texas Southern @ Toledo, 3-71
FCS#21 Florida A&M vs South Florida, 24-38
Grambling @ #14 LSU ...I'm going with the Tigers in this one..., 10-72
FCS#17 Southeastern Louisiana @ South Alabama, 17-35
Northwestern State @ Louisiana Tech, 21-51
Houston Christian @ Western Kentucky, 22-52
McNeese State @ Florida, 7-49
Nicholls State @ TCU, 6-41
Lamar @ UL-Monroe, 14-24

Others:
Iowa @ Iowa State, 20-13
Tulsa @ #8 Washington, 10-43
#11 Texas @ #3 Alabama, 34-24
Memphis @ Arkansas State, 3-37....RWs seem to have a scoring problem so far
Oklahoma State @ Arizona State, 27-15...score looks familiar....wonder what a ASU/UCA matchup would look like? I lost track of how many times OSU broadcast crew compared the game vs ASU to the game vs UCA
-Lindenwood @ FCS #16 SEMO, 7-45
Missouri State @ UT-, 31-38


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Sat Sep 16, 2023 9:44 am 
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Week 3

UAC:

UCA @ #2 North Dakota State, 31-49
Utah Tech @ Northern Arizona, 50-36
Eastern Kentucky vs Western Carolina, 24-27
Tarleton State @ Texas Tech, 3-41
Austin Peay vs East Tennessee State, 63-3
North Alabama @ Tennessee Tech, 20-7
SFA @ Northwestern State, 41-7
ACU vs FCS#10 Incarnate Word, 20-27.
Southern Utah @ UC-Davis, 21-23

FCS Top 10:

1. South Dakota State vs Drake, 70-7
2. North Dakota State vs FCS #27 UCA, 49-31
3. Montana State vs Stetson, 57-20
4. William & Mary @ Charleston Southern, 15-7
5. Idaho @ California, 17-31
6. Holy Cross @ Yale, 49-24
7. Furman @ Kennesaw State, 31-28
8. Sacramento State @ Stanford, 30-23
9. Weber State @ #12 Utah, 7-31
10. Incarnate Word @ FCS#30 Abilene Christian, 27-20

Others:

Lamar @ South Dakota, 6-35
FCS#19 Southeastern La @ Eastern Washington, 29-40
Arkansas State vs Stony Brook, 31-7
FCS#13 SE Missouri vs Southern Illinois, 25-26
#14 LSU @ Mississippi State, 41-14
#19 OU @ Tulsa, 66-17
La Tech vs North Texas, 37-40
Louisiana @ UAB, 41-21
#3 Florida State @ Boston College, 31-29

FCS/FBS:
Long Island @ Baylor, 7-30
Central Conn @ Kent State, 10-38
North Dakota @ Boise State, 18-42
FCS#9 Weber State @ #12 Utah, 7-31
VMI @ NC State, 7-45
Norfolk State @ Temple, 9-41
Indiana State @ Ball State, 7-45
FCS#5 Idaho @ California, 17-31
Northern Colorado @ #23 Washington State, 21-64
NC Central @ #24 UCLA, 7-59
Samford @ Auburn, 12-45
Murray State @ Middle Tenn State, 14-35
Tarleton State @ Texas Tech, 3-41
Prairie View A&M @ SMU, 0-69
Texas Southern @ Rice, 7-59
Duquesne @ Coastal Carolina, 7-66
FCS#8 Sacramento State @ Stanford, 30-23......FCS win..I did not hear e-sports say anything about this game...must not fit the narrative
Bethune Cookman # 22 Miami, 7-48


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2023 11:04 pm 
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FCS StatsPerform Top 25 9/19/23

1 South Dakota State (52) 2-1 1,396 1
2 North Dakota State (3) 3-0 1,339 2
3 Montana State 2-1 1,273 3
4 Sacramento State (1) 3-0 1,175 8
5 William & Mary 3-0 1,156 4
6 Holy Cross 2-1 1,090 6
7 Idaho 2-1 1,081 5
8 Furman 2-1 991 7
9 UIW 2-1 903 10
10 Weber State 2-1 861 9
11 New Hampshire 2-1 841 11
12 Southern Illinois 3-0 831 15
13 Montana 3-0 732 12
14 North Dakota 2-1 609 14
15 UC Davis 2-1 583 16
16 Southeast Missouri State 1-2 508 13
17 Rhode Island 2-1 357 21
18 North Carolina Central 2-1 341 17
19 Delaware 2-1 333 22
20 Samford 1-2 280 18
21 Mercer 2-1 270 20
22 Florida A&M 2-1 239 23
23 Western Carolina 2-1 217 NR
24 Youngstown State 2-1 158 25
25 Villanova 2-1 119 24
Others Receiving Votes (schools listed on two or more ballots): UT Martin 96; Southeastern Louisiana 72; Eastern Washington 68; Northern Iowa 57;Central Arkansas 50; Fordham 37; Campbell 33; Abilene Christian 30; UAlbany 19; Tennessee State 11; Gardner-Webb 8; Tarleton State 8; Austin Peay 6; Eastern Illinois 4; Harvard 2; Stephen F. Austin 2


Last edited by JRK on Mon Sep 25, 2023 9:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Wed Sep 20, 2023 11:30 pm 
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Week 4
Rating spreads from Sagarin
(Sagarin ratings results 16-5)

NOTE - Top 3 FCS Conferences are: MVFC at 55.16; Big Sky at 53.30; UAC at 49.71

MVFC is 16th in all of D1 out of 28

UAC: (4-2)
UCA by 6 vs Abilene Christian, 52-17....wow
Utah Tech @ Missouri State by 7...17-59
Eastern Kentucky vs FCS#16 SE Missouri by 4......41-38...should not be a surprise with EKU's QB
Austin Peay @ SFA by 1, 22-20
North Alabama vs UT-Martin by 9, 21-37
Tarleton State vs Southwest Baptist...another opponent that does not count, 27-13
Southern Utah by 17 vs Western Illinois, 37-17

FCS Top 10: (5-0)
1. South Dakota State - open
2. North Dakota State - open
3. Montana State by 6 @ #10 Weber State, 40-0..someone over-rated!
4. Sacramento State @ #7 Idaho by 3, 27-36
5. William & Mary by 15 vs Maine, 28-3
6. Holy Cross by 25 vs Colgate, 47-7
7. Idaho by 3 vs #4 Sacramento State, 36-27....Stanford fans cringing
8. Furman by 10 vs #21 Mercer,38-14
9. Incarnate Word vs North American University....NAIA opponent, 63-3
10. Weber State vs #3 Montana State by 6, 0-40

Others: (7-3)
Lindenwood @ Illinois State by 18, 17-48
Chattanooga @ FCS#20 Samford by 2, 47-24
Nicholls State @ Tulane by 30, 7-36...1 point off
#4 Florida State @ Clemson by 2, 31-24, OT
#16 Oklahoma by 13 @ Cincinnati, 20-6....1 point off
#15 Ole Miss @ #13 Alabama by 7, 10-24
La Tech @ Nebraska by 19, 14-28
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State by 1, 34-37
Sam Houston State @ Houston by 16, 7-38
Arkansas State vs Southern Miss by 3, 44-37


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Mon Sep 25, 2023 9:22 pm 
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FCS StatsPerform Top 25 9/25/23

1 South Dakota State (54) 3-0 1,398 1
2 North Dakota State (2) 3-0 1,335 2
3 Montana State 3-1 1,288 3
4 Idaho 3-1 1,187 7
5 William & Mary 4-0 1,154 5
6 Holy Cross 3-1 1,089 6
7 Furman 3-1 1,044 8
8 Sacramento State 3-1 1,011 4
9 UIW 3-1 947 9
10 Southern Illinois 3-0 913 12
11 Delaware 3-1 772 19
12 North Dakota 2-1 704 14
13 Weber State 2-2 601 10
14 New Hampshire 2-2 591 11
15 North Carolina Central 3-1 505 18
16 Villanova 3-1 494 25
17 Western Carolina 3-1 479 23
18 Montana 3-1 420 13
19 Eastern Washington 2-2 358 NR
20 Florida A&M 3-1 346 22
21 UC Davis 2-2 297 15
22 UT Martin 3-1 241 NR
23 Youngstown State 2-1 234 24
24 Rhode Island 2-2 125 17
25 Central Arkansas 2-2 116 NR
Others Receiving Votes (schools listed on two or more ballots): Southeast Missouri State 103; Fordham 82; Mercer 62; Chattanooga 55; Eastern Illinois 48; Austin Peay 33; Samford 29; Tarleton State 27; Northern Iowa 23; Albany 22; Harvard 12; Eastern Kentucky 7


Note - Seems like EKU should be getting more votes....


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Tue Sep 26, 2023 9:09 pm 
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Week 5
Rating spreads from Sagarin
(Sagarin ratings results 36-10 season to date)

NOTE - Top 3 FCS Conferences are: MVFC at 54.97; Big Sky at 52.28; UAC at 49.32

MVFC is 16th in all of D1 out of 28

UAC: (7-0)
FCS#25 UCA by 5 @ Southern Utah, 29-27
Austin Peay by 18 @ Lindenwood, 52-10
Tarleton State by 1 @ SE Louisiana, 14-13
Abilene Christian @ North Texas by 6, 31-45
Utah Tech @ Colorado State by 28, 20-41
Eastern Kentucky by 7 @ North Alabama, 32-22
SFA by 11 vs Texas A&M/Commerce, 56-27


FCS Top 10: (5-3)
1. South Dakota State by 20 vs North Dalota...Dakotas Shootout Part 1, 42-21
2. North Dakota State by 20 vs South Dakota...Dakotas Shootout Part 2, 19-24
3. Montana State by 24 vs Portland State, 38-22
4. Idaho by 6 @ Eastern Washington, 44-36
5. William & Mary by 2 @ Elon, 6-14
6. Holy Cross by 11 vs Harvard, 28-38
7. Furman - open
8. Sacramento State by 21 vs Northern Arizona, 31-30
9. Incarnate Word - open
10. Southern Illinois by 12 vs Missouri State, 33-20

Others: (8-2)
Villanova by 2 @ Albany, 10-31
Tennessee State @ UT-Martin by 16, 28-42
UC-Davis by 18 @ Cal Poly, 31-13
Tulsa by 5 vs Temple, 48-26
Jacksonville State by 2 @ Sam Houston State, 35-28 OT
La Tech by 1 @ UTEP, 24-10
Cincinnati by 1 @ BYU, 35-27
Arkansas State by 4 @ UMass, 52-28
#3 LSU @ #20 Ole Miss by 3, 49-55
#14 OU by 18 vs Iowa State, 50-20


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Mon Oct 02, 2023 10:39 pm 
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FCS StatsPerform Top 25 10/2/23

1 South Dakota State (56) 4-0 1,400 1
2 Montana State 4-1 1,334 3
3 Idaho 4-1 1,293 4
4 Sacramento State 4-1 1,145 8
5 Furman 3-1 1,114 7
6 Southern Illinois 4-0 1,104 10
7 North Dakota State 3-1 1,078 2
8 UIW 3-1 999 9
9 Delaware 3-1 860 11
10 William & Mary 4-1 848 5
11 Western Carolina 4-1 721 17
12 Holy Cross 3-2 718 6
13 Weber State 3-2 624 13
14 North Carolina Central 4-1 572 15
15 South Dakota 3-1 524 NR
16 North Dakota 2-2 519 12
17 Montana 4-1 409 18
18 UT Martin 4-1 393 22
19 Florida A&M 4-1 374 20
20 UC Davis 3-2 334 21
21 Harvard 3-0 241 NR
22 Eastern Washington 2-3 215 19
23 Central Arkansas 3-2 204 25
24 Chattanooga 4-1 167 NR
25 Elon 3-2 166 NR
Others Receiving Votes (schools listed on two or more ballots): New Hampshire 143; Rhode Island 119; Albany117; Villanova 117; Eastern Illinois 79; Northern Iowa 64; Austin Peay 62; Tarleton State 46; Mercer 29; Samford 16; Southeast Missouri State 16; Youngstown State 11; Eastern Kentucky 10; Fordham 9


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Tue Oct 03, 2023 10:11 pm 
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Week 6
Rating spreads from Sagarin
(Sagarin ratings results 16-4 this week and 52-14 season to date)

NOTE - Top 3 FCS Conferences are: MVFC at 55.13; Big Sky at 51.87; UAC at 49.68

MVFC is 16th in all of D1 out of 28

UAC: (1-2)
#23 UCA by 6 vs SE Missouri, 38-33
Southern Utah @ Tarleton State by 2, 27-26...Texans led 20-0 at half
SFA by 13 @ Utah Tech, 31-37....DFA now 0-2 in UAC...another desperate team for Bears next week

FCS Top 10: (7-1)
1 South Dakota State by 20 @ Illinois State, 40-21
2 Montana State - open
3 Idaho by 27 @ Cal Poly, 42-14
4 Sacramento State - open
5 Furman by 33 vs The Citadel, 28-14
6 Southern Illinois by 6 @ Youngstown State, 3-31...wow
7 North Dakota State by 12 @ Missouri State, 38-10
8 UIW by 13 vs Southeastern La, 33-26
9 Delaware by 22 vs Duquesne, 43-17
10 William & Mary @ Virginia by 8....upset potential, 13-27

Others: (8-1)
Oklahoma State vs Kansas State by 10, 29-21
Arkansas State @ Troy by 16, 3-37
FCS#16 North Dakota by 26 vs Western Illinois, 49-10
FCS #17 Montana by 12 @ #20 UC-Davis, 31-23
FCS#18 UT-Martin by 9 @ Eastern Illinois, 28-27
FCS#24 Chattanooga vs Western Carolina by 1, 50-52...beat the spread
La Tech vs Western Kentucky by 7, 28-35
#12 OU vs #3 Texas by 1 at Dallas, 34-30
#5 Florida State by 19 vs Va Tech, 39-17

A&M-Commerce beat our friends from Lake Charles by 41-10.....


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Mon Oct 09, 2023 7:49 pm 
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FCS StatsPerform Top 25 10/9/23

1 South Dakota State (56) 5-0 1,400 1
2 Montana State 4-1 1,333 2
3 Idaho 5-1 1,296 3
4 Sacramento State 4-1 1,181 4
5 Furman 4-1 1,138 5
6 North Dakota State 4-1 1,110 7
7 UIW 4-1 1,010 8
8 Delaware 4-1 947 9
9 Western Carolina 5-1 906 11
10 South Dakota 4-1 771 15
11 William & Mary 4-2 759 10
12 Holy Cross 4-2 744 12
13 Southern Illinois 4-1 721 6
14 North Carolina Central 5-1 681 14
15 North Dakota 3-2 567 16
16 Montana 5-1 564 17
17 UT Martin 5-1 492 18
18 Florida A&M 5-1 410 19
19 Harvard 4-0 367 21
20 Central Arkansas 4-2 318 23
21 Eastern Washington 2-3 205 22
22 Weber State 3-3 201 13
23 Youngstown State 3-2 197 NR
24 Albany 4-2 182 NR
25 Chattanooga 4-2 107 24
Others Receiving Votes (schools listed on two or more ballots): Northern Iowa 95; Villanova 94; UC Davis 75; Rhode Island 73; Austin Peay 56; Mercer 52; New Hampshire 49; Eastern Illinois 32; Elon 19; Samford 18; Fordham 16; Tarleton State 5; Lafayette 4; Northern Arizona 3


Top 25 based on Sagarin rating:
1. South Dakota State 75.28 (#43 in D1)
2. Montana State 70.32
3. North Dakota State 70.30
4. Idaho 64.03
5. Sacramento State 61.07
6. Southern Illinois 60.69
7. North Dakota 60.46
8. Youngstown State 60.15
9. South Dakota 57.47
10. UCA 57.44 (#125 in D1)
11. Austin Peay 57.32

12. Northern Iowa 57.05
12. Western Carolina 56.33
13. Furman 56.11
14. Incarnate Word 55.86
15. Holy Cross 55.61
16. Montana 55.04
17. Delaware 54.88
18. Eastern Washington 54.74
19. UC-Davis 53.51
20. William & Mary 53.38
21. Illinois State 53.07
22. SEMO 53.00
23. Harvard 52.75
24. Weber State 52.63
25. Villanova 52.40

MVFC has 8 of Top 25.....Big Sky 7 of Top 25....UAC has 2 of Top 25 plus 4 between 32-40.......

Some Sagarin ratings of interest (rating, D1 rank):

Ok State 75.98/40
Tulsa 61.78/104
La Tech 58.62/121
Arkansas State 53.33/147
Missouri State 51.57/160
McNeese State 34.28/228
UAPB 25.67/252


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Tue Oct 10, 2023 9:41 am 
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1. South Dakota State 75.28 (#43 in D1)
2. Montana State 70.32
3. North Dakota State 70.30

are all just next level FCS football teams. I think they could beat a handful of bottom FBS dwellers ever so often if not regularly (which I beleive they do).


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Tue Oct 10, 2023 9:39 pm 
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I believe you are exactly right about FBS teams vs these three....assuming they played as visitors at the FBS team they would be picked by Sagarin ratings to beat a LOT of FBS teams including:

South Dakota State .....Boise State, NC State, Mississippi State, Fresno State, California. Nebraska, Purdue, Colorado, Memphis, Michigan State....IF the FBS fouled up and went to Brookings to play, the Jackrabbits would be favored to also beat....Arkansas, South Carolina, Kentucky, Oklahoma State, Florida, BYU among others....

NDSU and MSU would be favored over most of those above as well...

SDSU has NO FBS teams on the 2023 schedule....in 2022 they lost to Iowa in Iowa City by 7-3....in 2021 they beat Colorado State in Ft Collins by 42-23....in 2019 they lost to Minnesota at Minneapolis by 28-21......don't think we will see the JackRabbits play an FBS team in this part of the country anytime soon.....

Like SDSU, NDSU has NO FBS teams in 2023......in 2022 Bisons lost to Arizona in Tucson by 31-28....no FBS in 2021....no FBS in 2019....

Given these teams are not afraid of any opponent I am guessing they have problems scheduling FBS and even P5 teams...

They then get to have another FCS OOC home game and fill their stadium....


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 Post subject: Re: 2023 Games of Interest
PostPosted: Tue Oct 10, 2023 9:45 pm 
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Week 7
Rating spreads from Sagarin
(Sagarin ratings results 15-5 this week and 67-19 season to date)

NOTE - Top 3 FCS Conferences are: MVFC at 55.44; Big Sky at 52.13; UAC at 49.71

MVFC is 16th in all of D1 out of 28

UAC: (4-0)

FCS#20 UCA by 8 vs SFA, 24-21
UNA @ ACU by 10, 13-30
FCS#37 Tarleton State @ EKU by 4, 35-41, OT ...both of these will be tough outs
FCS#30 APU by 14 vs Gardner-Webb, 41-14

{Hard to believe no one voted for SFA or EKU in FCS poll}
....
FCS Top 10: (7-2)

1 South Dakota State by 20 vs FCS#26 Northern Iowa, 41-6
2 Montana State by 37 vs Cal Poly, 59-19
3 Idaho by 11 vs FCS#16 Montana, 21-23...QB Clifton McDowell 11-18-176-0 and rushed 13-38 in the winning effort
4 Sacramento State by 22 @ Northern Colorado, 21-13
5 Furman @ FCS#35 Samford, 27-21
6 North Dakota State by 7 @ FCS#15 North Dakota, 24-49...does not help our ratings!!
7 UIW by 18 vs A&M-Commerce, 28-11
8 Delaware by 19 vs NCA&T, 21-6
9 Western Carolina - open
10 South Dakota vs FCS#23 Youngstown State by 1, 34-31

Others: (4-3)
Oklahoma State by 1 vs #23 Kansas, 39-32...helps the Bears ratings!!
Memphis vs Tulane by 1, 21-31
FCS#13 Southern Illinois by 20 @ Murray State, 27-6
FCS#19 Harvard by 12 vs Howard, 48-7
FCS#21 Eastern Washington by 19 @ Idaho State, 41-42
FCS#22 Weber State by 1 vs FCS#28 UC-Davis, 16-17
FCS#25 Chattanooga @ FCS31 Mercer by 1, 22-10


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