BearCountry wrote:
If as fans we are happy being 188 out of 246 with a strength of schedule of
344 out of
346, then great.
I assume you meant out of 346 on the first figure as well.
Anyhow, as a fan hell yes I am happy with being 188. That puts you real close to being in the top half of the nation before even completing the D-I transition. 188 doesn't sound awesome but if you have any rational grasp of where we're at, being in the top half of the country ahead of 158 teams (most of whom have been in the D-I business a lot longer) coming off two years of a combined record of 13-45 is pretty damn good.
If, in 2006 as the Sugar Bears were wrapping up a 17-11 season in Division II, somebody came up to you and said "You know, in four years we're going to be Division I and be rated higher than Hawaii, Oregon State, Arkansas State, George Washington, Southern Miss, Army, Air Force, etc...", that would've probably sounded pretty good, right? Well ... here we are. And it still sounds pretty good.
You really need to think about it the same way you do with football, as if D-I is subdivided the same way (and, it probably should be). If you boot the 73 BCS-league teams out of the equation then it probably looks a whole lot more impressive. And given our very limited financial resources and fan support, there's no way you can really make an apples-to-apples comparison between UCA and those schools. It's the same level in name only.
So would it be nice to be higher than 188? Sure. But it doesn't really matter. 188 or 88, you're not getting an at-large tournament bid.
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Hey, let's play an easy schedule and win the conference and make it to the tournament just so we can get demolished in the first round by an upper level team, say a 1 or 2 seed!
So all of a sudden winning the conference and going to the NCAA Tournament is something to scoff at?!? Really?!
I don't know if you've noticed or not, but the difference between UCA and UCONN is more than a couple of capital letters.
For them, sure it's pretty much a birthright and is expected every year. But that's the case for a select handful of programs in the nation, and all of them have tons more tradition and spend a lot more on women's basketball than we do our entire athletics department combined. That's a harsh reality.
It would be nice to get to a Top 25 (ranking, not RPI) level one day and consistently be a threat to not only make the tournament but to make noise in it. But to have that
expectation now or any time in the near future is outlandish. Winning your league and making the NCAA Tournament is something to get downright damn giddy about, even if you get pounded by Tennessee in the 1st round.
This time last year we were wishing we could get 10 wins in a season. And now we have fans who roll their eyes at winning conference titles and going to the NCAA Division I Tournament? That tells me two things...
1. Coach Daniel has done a damn good job of making things happen in a hurry.
2. Some people have a skewered (read: grossly inflated) sense of where UCA stands in the grand scheme of things.
I think you could ask any low-level DI coach and they'll tell you the goals going into the season are to win the conference, win the conference tournament and make the NCAA Tournament. Having a good RPI or SOS isn't really what they're after. You tell a recruit you went 23-6 and won your league, they're thinking "that's pretty good" a lot more than they're thinking "yeah, but what was your strength of schedule?".
And, by the way, being in the Southland the SOS is never going to be great. Get used to it. Just learn to accept that it doesn't matter.
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Or.... we can get a tougher schedule during the year, get the experience playing good teams (because we all know that teams that play better competition get better themselves),
You mean like Nicholls' games with Louisiana Tech and LSU, and how much better that made them? They're cruising along at 4-22 and 1-13 in the league, so that worked out well.
Or maybe you mean like how much better we got from playing Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Miami and Kansas State in the past couple of years.
And Lord knows where our men would be right now, God love 'em, were it not for those games against Kansas and Memphis. If we hadn't scheduled those two games, we might be having a bad year. Fortunately, we stepped it up in competition and we're seeing the dividends now.
Lamar's RPI right now is 86. They played a pretty beefed-up OOC schedule with some Big XII and Big Ten teams in there.
1. The Sugar Bears and their piddly RPI still kicked that ass.
2. If they don't win the Southland tourney, they aren't making the NCAA Tournament and won't get a chance to show if they would get blasted or could beat a decent team. I don't think, if they fall short, they're going to look back and feel great about the season because they had a pretty high RPI.
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win the conference, go to the tournament, not get that last place draw, and have a chance against an 8 or 10 seed. Tough scenario I know, but I think the SugarBears could do it.
Trey has already made this point, but I would like the satisfaction of typing it myself as well. What on earth leads you to believe that a Southland team is going to get a 7-9 seed?
Hey don't get me wrong, this is all stuff I'd absolutely love to see happen. UALR is knocking on the door of the Top 25 right now (as is Middle Tennessee in the Sun Belt). And while we aren't to that level yet (and don't have nearly as nice a facility, as much financial backing, or the media exposure), we can at least see that it's possible,
in time if you can get and keep a quality coach. They've been able to do that with Joe Foley, and if we can somehow keep Coach Daniel around for a little while then maybe that's a possibility. But even still it's tougher sledding coming from a non-FBS league and being a neophyte D-I program.
But to put your expectations so high that things like winning conference titles and going to the NCAA Tournament aren't a big deal is just crazy. There's a difference between wishing and expecting. I think if that's what you're expecting, then you're going to be in for a lot of disappointment and might as well jump ship now.
Now, all of a sudden, going 23-6 and winning a league title and making the NCAAs at Central Arkansas just isn't cutting it and is falling short of your expectations and after a while of that, then the coach should go, right? If he's not meeting your expectations then a change should be made, right? Isn't that how it works?
All UCA has to do is go schedule and beat big-time teams, rip through its conference, conference tournament, make the NCAAs as a 7 or 9 seed and put it on a team from a school that's been Division I for decades and spends millions of dollars on paying for good coaches, recruiting good student-athletes, traveling them by jet all season to avoid the grind of 15-hour bus trips, giving them top-notch training facilities and a host of strength & conditioning coaches and dieticians and such to keep them in as good of shape as possible, and so forth. Seems like a level playing field, and perfectly reasonable. Right?